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Super Bowl XLVII: Which QB Slept Better Last Night?

2/2/2014

 
No underdogs this year. No Wild Cards. No weak division winners. No “undeserving” teams. No sixth seeds; not even a fifth, fourth, third, or lowly second. Nothing but number ones invited to this shindig. The NFL’s two top teams, both of which beat their stiffest competition in their respective conference championship games. High-powered offence vs. punishing defence. Record-setting QB and receivers vs. the top defensive secondary.

Welcome to the greatest Super Bowl matchup of all time.

It doesn’t feel like it, though. At least not to me.

Where’s the controversy. The drama. The HYPE! Did I miss it?

The biggest story in the lead up to the big game was Richard Sherman, after his outburst on live TV immediately following the Seahawks’ victory over their hated rival the 49ers in the NFC Championship game. However, the whole controversy devolved into abject stupidity, at which point sanity somehow prevailed and the story fizzled.
Lemme ‘splain… no, there is too much… Lemme summup:

Richard Sherman is a jerk because he gave a choke sign to an opponent then yelled at a pretty, mentally-challenged girl holding a microphone but we don’t know what the other guy said about him so maybe he was justified and isn’t this criticism really just racism and Sherman isn’t really a bad guy I mean how could he be he went to Stanford and got a degree in communications and everything and you don’t know the real guy and there’s two sides to him and you really just need to get to know “Stanford Richard Sherman” because college-educated equals class and intelligence and hey did you read the column he wrote in Peterland and blah blah blah blahblahblah………………….

Oh, and Marshawn Lynch hates reporters and likes Skittles. That should describe everyone, really.

Boring.

Richard Sherman is a physically-gifted, hard-working athlete. He is a very good football player. He may very well be a drug cheat, but I have no proof of that. Off the field, I don’t care a whit about what he does. On the field, he is a jerk. He is a trash-talker. He likes to show-up opponents. He likes to disrespect opponents. He represents everything that is good and bad about the game itself, and therefore everything I like and dislike about it.

That’s enough about that. It’s time to talk about the game.

NFL Championship Game

Seahawks at Broncos, Snoopy Stadium, New Joisy, USA

These two teams are really evenly-matched. Picking a winner is tough, kind of like guessing which of two Sean Bean characters would win a fight to the death. To me, it’s simple. It’s all about the QBs. No matter what kind of offence you run, no matter your team’s strengths, tendencies, talents, it all begins with the man behind center. He touches the ball on every play. He runs the show. He has to make some plays. Maybe a lot, maybe a whole lot. Russell Wilson is undeniably talented. He has a strong arm. He’s smart. He’s quick. He can make plays with his feet, scrambling, buying time, avoiding pressure, or just running with the ball. He can also make mistakes. He’s young. He most likely still hasn’t fully absorbed the magnitude of this game.

This really is Peyton Manning’s season. He has been getting ready for this game all year. He’s a machine, a cyborg, the Quarterbot 18. He’s the computer who wore cleats. Yes, the Seahawks’ defence is deep, talented, well-coached, hard-hitting, and prepared. How prepared can you be, though, against a player who is playing the game on as high a level as Peyton is now? As good as the Seahawks are, they have to react to Peyton and his offence. Peyton gives so many looks, knows so many wrinkles, has an unparalleled command of the game, sees things so well. When I’ve watched him this season, especially against New England in the AFC Championship, he looked like the only player on the field. And by that, I mean that the other players, on both teams, were merely pieces in a game he was playing by himself. He’s that locked in.
That’s how I see this game. Make no mistake; this Seahawks defence is everything it’s advertised to be, and they will make it extremely challenging for Manning to do the things he wants to do. The going will not be easy for the Broncos offence. Manning’s pieces, and he has some really great pieces (not a pawn in the bunch) will have to execute against a defence that will push them, challenge them, punish them, even hurt them. Peyton will do his thing. This is the ultimate challenge, and he loves it.

The key to the Seahawks’ chances is Russell Wilson. Seattle’s defence will do everything it can to give Wilson the chance to make the plays he needs to make to win. He won’t be up to the challenge. It’s no knock on him.

There’s no shame in not being Peyton Manning, unless you are Peyton Manning.

Oh, and I’m rooting for Champ Bailey in this one. Guy needs a ring.

Seahawks 23, Broncos 30



Championship Sunday: Who Do You Like?

1/19/2014

 
Or, as my friend Chad might say, “Who ya got?”

(And… that’s it. I had planned a much longer intro, but, life’s like that sometimes. Enjoy the games, folks. Should be a couple of doozies. –G)

AFC Championship

Patriots at Broncos

This is Peyton Manning’s year, the year where it all came together for him on offence. You could make a very strong case that he has never had this much depth at the receiver positions, but perhaps his single greatest asset was versatile back Knowshon Moreno, who rushed for over 1000 yards and 10 TDs, caught another 60 balls, and is a good blocker. With all the weapons at his disposal, Manning led a record-breaking attack. You don’t stop this Broncos offence. You have to limit its chances. This Patriots team has more depth and talent in its secondary than it has had in quite some time, including some ball-hawks who have shown a knack for making QBs and receivers pay for mistakes. This will prove invaluable, as the Pats need to focus on getting pressure on Manning and limiting Moreno. Another key to limiting the Broncos’ offensive effectiveness will be the Pats’ ability to move the ball, control the clock, score points, and keep Manning off the field. Much has been said about the emergence of LeGarrette Blount. He is ridiculously fast and agile for a 250-pound man, the perfect back making the most of a great opportunity, operating behind great blocking, in an offence run by an all-time great QB, and with plenty of depth behind him at the running back position. Not only are the Broncos not a good defensive team, but they don’t really excel in any particular area. This Pats’ offence should have little difficulty controlling the tempo of the game. In the end, it will come down to execution. I have to look at the players on both sides. This may not be Peyton Manning’s year after all. Winner: Patriots

NFC Championship

49ers at Seahawks

When I look at these two offences, I see a lot of similarities. Both feature strong line play, powerful running backs, and mobile QBs. The 49ers have an advantage in terms on their receiving corps; WRs Anquan Boldin and Michael Crabtree and TE Vernon Davis are better than anything that the Seahawks have at their disposal. At RB, I’d take Marshawn Lynch over Frank Gore. I also like Russell Wilson a bit better than Colin Kaepernick at QB, simply because I think Wilson is smarter and less likely to make mistakes. Everyone knows that these are two of the best defensive teams in football, so how do the defences match up against the offences they have to face? The Seahawks’ secondary may be the best in the NFL, a physical group that covers well. If Kaepernick doesn’t get the looks he likes on passing downs, he is quick to resort to running. Seattle’s secondary allows them to game plan for this eventuality, as well as to devote the necessary personnel to stopping Frank Gore. The key to San Fran’s defensive strategy has to be stopping Marshawn Lynch. Their strength at the defensive line and LB positions will help them tremendously, and will force Wilson to make more plays to keep the Seahawks’ offence moving. I believe that Wilson is up to the task, and that he will be helped by facing a 49ers secondary that does not cover well. Again, it’s about execution. In a close game, in the sonic crucible of CenturyLink Field, I’ll take Russell Wilson over Colin Kaepernick. Winner: Seahawks

Divisional Round Sunday: PVR Superstar

1/12/2014

 
Just a few quick observations before I head out to do my last night shift for a few weeks:

49ers at Panthers

Tough call here. San Fran barely won last week against a Packers defence that isn't very good and was missing some key players, and now they have to travel across the country to face the buzzsaw Panthers defence. I expect a low-scoring affair. The deciding factor will be which QB can do more with the limited opportunities they will have. I'm keeping the faith with Cam Newton. Winner: Panthers


Chargers at Broncos

If you're a Denver fan, and you say that this game doesn't scare the bejeesus out of you, you're lying. You should be scared. I'm expecting a shootout here. It won't be as easy for San Diego as it was last week, because unlike Andy Dalton, Peyton Manning is toilet-trained. Both offences are explosive, and neither defence is particularly great. (Aside: The Broncos briefly flirted with defensive mediocrity when dirty cheater Von Miller returned to the lineup after his too-short suspension for trying to circumvent the league's drug-testing procedure. Now, I would never applaud a player's injury, but it is fitting that Miller will not play. Don't worry Bronco nation; I'm sure he's currently taking some combination of caribou-antler extract, human growth hormone, and Adderall, with a twist of lemon, and will show up for training camp fully healed with an extra 10 pounds of muscle added for good measure.) I truly feel like this game could go either way. Screw it. I'm taking the spoiler. Winner: Chargers

Divisional Round Saturday: Glad I Have PVR

1/11/2014

 
Just a couple of quick picks while I deal with the aftermath of perhaps the worst migraine I have ever had (and I still have to work tonight):

Saturday

Saints at Seahawks

Whatever luck the Saints had was used up in last week’s escape from Philadelphia. I’m not saying that New Orleans couldn’t beat Seattle at home, but they’d need an awful lot of help from the Seahawks themselves, via mistakes and turnovers. Absent that, the Seahawks have the personnel to shut down Jimmy Graham and hound Drew Brees, and that’s really all they need. Winner: Seahawks

Colts at Patriots

This looks like a good game on paper. Alas, it’s not being played on paper; these Colts have to face the Pats in cold, windy, rainy Foxborough. New England’s deep and punishing rushing attack will be the difference here, while Aquib Talib, Devin McCourty, and the rest of the Pats’ secondary will severely limit Andrew Luck’s effectiveness. Odd aside: I actually had a dream earlier this week in which McCourty returned an interception for a TD. Sorry, gamblers; I didn’t catch the final score. Winner: Patriots

 

Hopefully I’ll have more on tomorrow’s games later.

Wild Card Weekend: Frozen Tears

1/4/2014

 
Picture
In case you’ve been living under a rock (or, in the case of my home country, the “True North strong and free,” a snowbank), the NFL’s playoff seeding format is a mess, the wrong teams made the postseason, good teams have to play road games against bad teams, and the playoffs are going to suck, again, just like every year. Pity the poor San Francisco 49ers, winners of 12 games, being forced to test themselves in the sub-zero (yes, even sub-American-zero) temperatures of Lambeau against the 8 win (and one tie) Green Bay Packers. And as if that alone wasn’t enough to convince you of what a travesty this Wild Card round will be, the 11-win New Orleans Saints have to play their opening round game OUTSIDE FOR GOSH SAKES against a Philadelphia Eagles team that only managed to win 10 games this season! We can only hope that the Seattle Seahawks and Carolina Panthers, the deserving top two seeds in the NFC, make it to the conference championship game, or otherwise the regular season will have been rendered a pointless sham.

However, even though all of the attention is focused on the NFC, it’s the AFC where things are really wrong. So, in honour of all the people crying that the regular season should matter more and that changes have to be made when the end result isn’t what we want, I have taken the liberty of re-seeding the AFC so that an emphasis is placed on regular season results and so it’s fair. You’re welcome.

Since it’s Wild Card Weekend, let’s start with those wild cards, the Chiefs and the Chargers. Chiefs, you’re good. Chargers, we all know the only reason you’re in is because you got a bogus non-call (which the league admitted to) to win your week 17 game. Now, I was about to say that the league should retroactively take away that victory, but since the beneficiary team would be the Steelers, and the referee in question was Bill Leavy, I say retribution is a dish best served extremely cold, so suck it, Steelers. Chargers, you’re good too, and Mike Tomlin, use the extra time to learn the subtleties of not wandering on to the field while the players are, you know, playing.

The Denver Broncos earned the top seed based on their 13-3 record. Sorry, not good enough. I mean, it’s not really fair that the Broncos finish ahead of the Patriots, since the Pats beat them in Week 12. So, let’s swap them. Then, of course, there’s the matter of the Bengals. They beat the Pats, and they also beat AFC South champs the Colts, who also beat the Broncos. Regular season results should count, right? Congratulations, Cincy, you’re number one now. That leaves the Pats at two, Colts at three, and Broncs at four.

That’s much better, right?

I’ve read some pretty interesting takes on what’s wrong with the playoff seeding format this week. I’m not going to link to any of them; these guys get enough attention as it is, and I’m not giving them any more free advertising. My take, which I touched on last week: it is what it is. If you listened to the experts, the NFL would have a format completely based on won-lost records, or with the caveat thrown in that division winners automatically get a playoff berth, but then get seeded based on their record. So, the 49ers and Saints playing home games this weekend would be justice, but the 10-6 Cardinals making it over the 8-7-1 Packers would not? See, this is the thing that gets me about the media whining about playoff seeding EVERY YEAR; unless you can come up with a perfect solution, it’s probably better if you leave things as they are.

When I look at the Green Bay Packers, this year’s “problem,” I see a team that:

  • Was 5-2 after Week 8
  • Had Aaron Rodgers suffer a broken clavicle in a Week 9 loss against division-rival Chicago
  • Went 2-4-1 over their next seven games without the best QB in the NFL
  • Won a winner-take-all finale against the Bears with Rodgers playing for the first time since his injury

So, I guess what I’m trying to say is that I’m not too broken up over Green Bay, and Rodgers, being in the playoffs, or even hosting a game. If you look at the Packers, they’re clearly better than their record.

Tinker with the playoff seeding format if you want. You’ll never make everyone happy. More importantly, the media will always find something to complain about. Don’t believe the hype.

Oh, and the playoffs are going to be awesome again. Just like every year.

Saturday

Chiefs at Colts

With LB Justin Houston expected to make his return, the Chiefs’ pass rush should be better than the one that Andrew Luck faced two weeks ago in KC. LB Tamba Hali will not play, however, which should make Houston easier to handle. The Colts defence seems to have returned to its early-season form as the secondary has gotten healthier. Since the Chiefs have no real big-play threat at receiver, this will make it easier for the Colts to focus on stopping Jamaal Charles. That should be the difference in what should be a competitive game. Winner: Colts

Saints at Eagles

It’s easy to say that I should pick the Eagles because the Saints are playing on the road, outside, in the cold. So that’s exactly what I’m saying; I’m picking the Eagles because the Saints are playing on the road, outside, in the cold. As long as Eagles’ QB NickFoleon Dynamite doesn’t experience an “Ohmygod I’m in the playoffs!”-Spaz Attack, Philly should be able to outpoint Drew Brees and company. Winner: Eagles

Sunday

Chargers at Bengals

Congratulations San Diego! Now, meet your destroyer. For me, this game comes down to the fact that, while both teams can score tons on offence, the Chargers’ defence is not very good, and the Bengals’ defence is. As long as Bengals’ QB Andy Dalton doesn’t experience an “Ohmygod I’m in the playoffs!”-Spaz Attack, Cincy should be fine. Winner: Bengals

49ers at Packers

This one’s easy, right? What, haven’t you heard? The 49ers are much better than the Packers. The 49ers own the Packers. The only thing that gives the Packers a chance is the cold. Seriously though, that 49ers defence is awfully good. In the bitter cold, that’s a huge advantage. Still, I’m going to act like the huge Rodgers fanboy that I am and pick the Green Bay. The Packers’ secondary just might be healthy enough to allow their defence to focus on taking care of business up front. Plus, we all know that, if the ‘niners’ defence does have a weakness, it’s in the secondary. Winner: Packers

Week 17: Save Your Tears

12/29/2013

 
Picture
To begin this week, let’s cast our memories back a few seasons.

A team, bolstered by a 6-0 record against one mediocre and two awful divisional opponents, finished 9-7, easily won their division, qualified for the playoffs over several teams with equal or better records, and secured a home playoff game in the first round. I remember there was some discussion about whether this team “deserved” to be in the playoffs, hosting an 11-5 team to boot. The playoff seeding system needed to be overhauled to keep teams like this out and reward better teams, obviously. It was an absolute travesty. Pity flowed freely for poor teams like the 11-5 New England Patriots who were shut out of the postseason. Of course, this same team beat the 11-5 Atlanta Falcons in the first round, went all the way to the Super Bowl, and came within seconds of becoming champs. Also, they were as exciting as hell.

I mean, does anyone remember the 2009 Arizona Cardinals, featuring Kurt Warner and the nigh unstoppable Larry Fitzgerald? I know I do.

I only bring this up because here we are again, with one week left before the playoffs, and not much has changed. The Cardinals could win this week, finishing at 11-5, and still miss the playoffs. Meanwhile, a 10-6 or 9-7 team will win the NFC East, and a 9-7 or 8-7-1 team will win the NFC North. There’s been a lot of talk this week about the poor Cards, and how unfair the playoff seeding system is. It’s a very common narrative that the media loves to trot out to make it seem like they’re doing their due diligence by criticizing the league that they spend most of their time glorifying. With injuries, scheduling quirks, weather anomalies, and other unforeseen circumstances, won-loss records don’t always give an accurate representation of which are the better teams. Don’t believe me? Three years after the Arizona Cardinals became the first 9-7 team to make the Super Bowl, the 9-7 New York Giants, who qualified for the playoffs on the last day of the season, beat the Pats to become Super Bowl champs. I won’t shed too many tears for the teams that don’t make the postseason this year. It’s the NFL; there are always good teams that get left out. If anything, it’s an indicator of the quality of the teams in the league. As a fan of the game, I’m happy about that.

PictureTONY ROMO'S BACK! Sorry, too soon.
Jaguars at Colts

You have to love the Jags. They demonstrate the pride and quality of the type of player who is good enough to make it all the way to the NFL. They played this season with determination and a will not finish in last place, as many expected. I’m waiting for the early-season Colts to return, the giant-slayers who, over a 4-week period, beat the 49ers, Seahawks, and Broncos. They looked good against the Chiefs last week, hopefully a sign of things to come. Winner: Colts

Lions at Vikings

This is a “who cares” game. The Vikes go without Adrian Peterson. I love the Lions. They make me look like a friggin’ genius regularly through their ineptitude. I’m of two minds when it comes to Head Coach Jim Schwartz; he should be fired, because he is terrible, but I hope they keep him, because he’s terrible. Tie

Browns at Steelers

Did you know that the 7-8 Steelers still have a shot, albeit slim, at the playoffs? They’ll play hard. Winner: Steelers

Panthers at Falcons

With their huge win over the Saints last week, Carolina has a shot at a division title and a first-round bye. All they have to do is take care of their own business. Winner: Panthers

Washington at Giants

Completely meaningless game. I can’t even guess at any motivation for the players. Note to the Giants’ organization: fire Coughlin at your peril. Tie

Texans at Titans

A Houston loss will secure for them the number one pick in next year’s draft. As they’ve screwed everything else up this season… Winner: Texans

Ravens at Bengals

The Ravens need to win to have a shot at the playoffs. It’s that simple. However, don’t overlook the Bengals’ motivations in this one. Cincy still has a shot at a first-round bye. That aside, I’d be willing to bet that the prospect of ending Baltimore’s season is all the extra motivation that the Bengals need. Winner: Bengals

Jets at Dolphins

I’m sure that the Jets would love nothing more at this point than to play playoff spoilers, but Miami’s pass rush will be enough to snuff that notion. Winner: Dolphins

Buccaneers at Saints

In theory, the Bucs have the chance to knock the Saints out of the playoffs. I expect New Orleans to prevail at home, though. Winner: Saints

Chiefs at Chargers

The Chargers still have an outside shot at the postseason, while the Chiefs’ playoff seeding is set. San Diego is the obvious choice here. Funny thing about the NFL though: even second-stringers don’t just roll over, and pressure doesn’t always make diamonds. Winner: Chiefs

Rams at Seahawks

Opponents’ defence troubles Seattle, but there’s not much trouble here. Winner: Seahawks

49ers at Cardinals

I thought that the Cards would lose in Seattle last week, based on the fact that Carson Palmer would turn the ball over too many times. I was right about the turnovers, but the Cards’ defence rendered that moot. I don’t like Colin Kaepernick against a really good defence, and I doubt that will change anytime soon. Winner: Cardinals

Broncos at Raiders

Winner: Broncos

Packers at Bears

While I’m testing your memory, do you remember the Packers’ most recent Super Bowl campaign? Aaron Rodgers was forced to sit out a couple of games due to his second concussion of the season, and the Packers needed to win their final two games of the season just to qualify as the 6th seed. Their Week 17 opponent that year: Da’ Bears. For this game, Rodgers is making his first appearance since he suffered a broken clavicle in Week 9. Fortunately for Rodgers, the Packers’ run game should be enough to secure a victory here. Winner: Packers

Bills at Patriots

The Pats are properly motivated here, with a first-round bye at stake. Winner: Patriots















Eagles at Cowboys

I’d have picked the Eagles anyway, with or without Romo, because of the absence of Sean Lee. Winner: Eagles

Stay tuned for my playoff preview later this week.

Week 16: Mathematically Eliminated

12/22/2013

 
Sorry, folks. No column this week. I simply could not find the time.

Week 15: The Game Is The Thing

12/15/2013

 
A real football fan enjoys the game, and doesn’t need a lot of hype to get excited. For the casual fan, the media always has an angle. For a lot of games, if you’ve been watching football long enough, you can almost predict what the story will be before the hype even begins.

Take Peyton Manning for example. If his team is playing, and the forecast calls for cold weather, what are you going to hear about? If you said, “Peyton Manning can’t win in the cold,” or something like that, then you’ve been paying attention. Is it true? I don’t know. You can bet, however, that whoever is doing the talking will have statistics, those double-agents that lie for both sides, to back them up.

Me, I go by what I see. Streaks and ancient history don’t mean a lot to me. I stick with what I know, and, when it comes to Peyton Manning and cold weather, I only know two things.

The first has to do with last season’s AFC Divisional Playoff Game, played between the Broncos and Ravens in frigid conditions at Mile High Stadium. As the game wore on, Manning looked progressively worse. His passes seemed to lack the zip he had displayed throughout the season. Toward the end of the 4th quarter, the Broncos passed up an opportunity to drive to score the winning points in regulation, choosing instead to take their chances in overtime. During the coin toss before the extra session, Manning looked visibly miserable. Granted, this was Manning’s 17th game of a season in which he came back after multiple neck surgeries and a year away from the game. Manning has been phenomenal this season, and thus far has shown no signs of slowing down.

The other thing I know is something that I only discovered this week, and it is significant. Whatever you or I or the media think about the cold weather issue ultimately means nothing. However, what Manning thinks is another matter, and now I know that it bothers him. Listen to this short clip (specifically, from 0:38 to 1:10) from an interview with Manning after his Broncos whipped the Titans 51-28. When the subject is broached, he immediately becomes flustered and shows a bit of an edge. I was surprised by this. I’m used to Peyton the QB machine, the computer in cleats. As much as he might want people to believe that it doesn’t bother him, as much as he wants to believe it himself, his instinctive, unguarded reaction is very telling.

Will this become an issue in the playoffs? Manning has performed extremely well in the cold at Mile High this season. However, the Broncos’ upset loss to the Chargers this past Thursday handed control of the top AFC seed race to the New England Patriots. Foxborough, especially in the playoffs, is a whole different kind of cold for Manning. It’s in his head. I know it now.
PictureGOOGLED "Dolphin-crap" and this came up
So, what are the other stories in Week 15? Here’s my take. No hype required.

 

Texans at Colts

Can the Colts regain the early-season form that had them looking like world-beaters, before injuries brought them crashing down, in time for the playoffs? Lately, there seems like no better cure for a team’s woes than to play the Texans. Winner: Colts

49ers at Buccaneers

Can the 49ers stave off the hard-charging Cardinals and make it back to the playoffs? Tampa will be a tough test, especially for a San Francisco team travelling clear across the country. The ‘niners need to keep their edge over Arizona, lest their Week 17 face off become a winner-take-all affair. Winner: 49ers

Seahawks at Giants

Will we be seeing this Seahawks team in New Jersey again in February? Seattle has the inside track for the top seed in the NFC, and are extremely tough to beat at home. The disappointing Giants are playing out the string. Winner: Seahawks

Eagles at Vikings

Are the Eagles poised to take the NFC East title? Philly currently holds a one game lead over Dallas. The Vikings may be without Adrian Peterson this week. Either way, I don’t think it matters. Winner: Eagles

Bills at Jaguars

If they decided not to play this game at all, would it matter? I mean, both teams are 4-9. They could simulate it on a video game, or play board games or something. It would save wear and tear on the players’ bodies. Haven’t there been enough injuries this season? Tie

Bears at Browns

Can Jay Cutler lead Chicago to a division crown? Somehow (OK, the Lions helped a lot) the Bears are still in the hunt for the NFC North title. They’ll be facing a Browns team coming off a “What just happened?” loss to New England. Winner: Bears

Patriots at Dolphins

Can Miami improve its playoff chances while taking a huge Dolphin-crap on the gift the Chargers handed the Pats by beating the Broncos? New England has been in this position before; win out, and the road to the Super Bowl goes through Foxborough. Winner: Patriots

Washington at Falcons

How will Washington react to the RGIII shutdown? Really, Kirk Cousins starting at QB is the only thing keeping this game from being relegated to the same status as the Bills/Jags clash. I’m going with the new blood. Winner: Washington

Chiefs at Raiders

Can the Chiefs stay healthy enough for a good run at the playoffs? Realistically, KC has no chance to catch Denver for the division lead, as the Broncs finish their season against Houston and Oakland. I still say that, healthy, this Chiefs team is a nightmare matchup for anyone in the playoffs, particularly with its top pass rushers in top form. Winner: Chiefs

Jets at Panthers

How will the Panthers bounce back after a tough loss to the Saints? Carolina will be just fine, thanks. As for Geno Smith, well, I envision a slew of turnovers, leading to an ugly loss. Winner: Panthers

Cardinals at Titans

Can the surging Cardinals keep pace with the 49ers? All Arizona can do at this point is handle their own business and hope for some help from one of San Fran’s opponents. Winner: Cardinals

Saints at Rams

Can the Saints make the Super Bowl without winning the NFC number one seed? Though the Saints are iffy on the road, this game’s in a dome, against an offence with not nearly as much firepower. Potential playoff destination Seattle will not be nearly as accommodating. Winner: Saints
Packers at Cowboys

Can the Cowboys catch Philadelphia in the NFC East Race? Is there any point to Aaron Rodgers playing again this season? Whichever team loses here is surely out of playoff contention. The Dallas defence will once again be without Sean Lee, so Tony Romo et al will have to shoot it out. I like their chances. Winner: Cowboys

Bengals at Steelers

Has everyone forgotten about the Bengals, and do they prefer it that way? Cincy seems to be peaking again at just the right time. How sweet would it be to drive the final (steel) nail into the coffin of Pittsburgh’s season? Winner: Bengals

Monday Night

Ravens at Lions

Are the Ravens going to be around to defend their title? If Detroit blows the NFC North, how many Lions will be arrested in the offseason? Ravens in a big, nationally-televised game vs. Lions in a big, nationally-televised game. Never go against your core beliefs. Winner: Ravens (Loser: Lions)

Week 14: A Simple Poll

12/8/2013

 
My friend Chad and I were discussing the Fantasy Football potential of some of the wideouts he had the option of starting in Week 14. So, as a sort of introduction, I thought I’d play around with a new feature and see if I could get any of my readers to respond to a poll. Just choose the WR you think will do the best this week, then, if you wish, you can also comment below or tweet to me @GFHowie. Hope to hear from you, and enjoy Week 14.
Colts at Bengals

What’s cooler than being cool? Ice Colt (Go ahead… roll your eyes). Sure, Indy’s been 3-2 since their bye, but their wins were squeakers against the Texans (they of the now 10-game losing streak) and the Titans (x2), and they were hammered by the Rams and Cardinals. The Bengals have been hot and cold, have had to deal with devastating injuries on defence, but appear to have turned a corner. That’s what good teams do. Winner: Bengals

Lions at Eagles

The Eagles are a team on the rise. They seem to have their offence figured out now that Nick Foles has settled in as starting QB. Do I even have to say anything else about the Lions at this point? Winner: Eagles

Raiders at Jets

To say that the Jets have struggled on offence lately would be putting it mildly. Still, the Raiders aren’t what I’d call good, so there’s no way I’m picking them on the road in “Joisy.” Now, if Terrelle Pryor were playing… Winner: Jets

Vikings at Ravens

The Ravens have decided that they’re not quite finished defending their title, and are inching closer to a Wild Card berth. I’m invoking “The Joe Rule” here; Baltimore wins at home. Winner: Ravens

Bills at Buccaneers

Before they ran into a buzzsaw in Carolina last week, the Bucs had been playing some pretty good football. The Bills haven’t been, having most recently blown one to the Falcons in their annual “Home Game in Hogtown.” Winner: Buccaneers

Browns at Patriots

So, the Browns could not overcome Brandon Weeden last week, so it’s back to the bench for him, as Jason Campbell steps behind centre again. No danger of the Pats losing focus here; with only four weeks to play, they are in prime position for a top 2 seed and its concomitant first round bye. Winner: Patriots

Chiefs at Washington

Tough stretch for the once 9-0 Chiefs, losers of three straight. They experienced some key losses on defence due to injury, and their weakened pass rush resulted in sound thrashings at the hands of Philip Rivers and Peyton Manning. A trip to Washington to face Sir Robert Griffin the Third, Duke of (in a) Funk (anyone get that reference?) should be just the thing to stop that pesky losing skid. Winner: Chiefs

Dolphins at Steelers

Let’s see what we have in this mish-mash:  two teams with faint (and fainter) playoff hopes; Dolphins team that’s competitive every week; Steelers team that has gotten better after a slow start; game in Pittsburgh. The deciding factor for me is an odd one: the “Everyone hates us because our coach cheated,” factor. Sometimes, issues like this cause major distractions, other times, they bind teams together. Mike Tomlin’s players like him, I think. Winner: Steelers

Falcons at Packers

Packers’ hopes are fading fast. Personally, I kind of hope they shut Aaron Rodgers down for the season now. Even with him, I don’t believe that Green Bay is good enough to go very far in the playoffs. If they can’t beat the Falcons, even without Rodgers, the Pack doesn’t deserve to be there anyway. Winner: Packers

Titans at Broncos

I still say this Broncos team can be had. The Colts and the Pats proved it. They’re a bit out of Tennesee’s league, though. Winner: Broncos

Rams at Cardinals

The Cards’ defence, and their starting QB’s un-CarsonPalmery play of late, makes Arizona a tough match for anyone right now. Winner: Cardinals

Giants at Chargers

Oh Tom Coughlin, you seductive bastard. You think you can win a few games, bat your eyes at me, and make me think your Giants can beat the Chargers on the road. What, is that cologne I smell? Forget it. I can’t be had that easily, even if I want to be. Winner: Chargers

Seahawks at 49ers

Seattle has been beating up on weaklings lately, and yes, that includes New Orleans and their overrated defence (coached by the overrated Rob Ryan). The 49ers defence is a serious step-up in opposition. That, plus the return of San Fran WR Michael Crabtree, be it as difference-maker or decoy, will swing this close contest. Winner: 49ers

Panthers at Saints

Big test for Carolina this week. I like the matchup. They have the tools and the talent. If they’re prepared and focused, they can beat the Saints easily. Winner: Panthers

Monday Night

Cowboys at Bears

I see no reason why Romo and Co. can’t light up this Bears’ defence. LB Sean Lee, arguably the Cowboys’ most important player, returns to the lineup. That’s the game in a nutshell, folks. Winner: Cowboys

Week 13: Clear As Mud

12/1/2013

 
Geez! What a season.

By Week 13, you’d expect things to be a bit clearer, as the wheat separates itself from the chaff. However, in this campaign, which at times has seemed to be more about surviving than winning, we have the following:

  • Several teams in the AFC with 5-6 records vying for the final playoff spot, with teams at 4-7 (and one at 5-7) still hanging on.
  • Preseason favourite Houston on a 9-game losing streak (with the 8-3 Pats coming to town), and tied for last place in the conference with Jacksonville.
  • Brandon “Him Again?” Weeden making his third appearance at the top of the Browns’ QB depth chart, after injuries felled the last two guys who replaced him for sucking.
  • The Panthers on a 7-game winning streak, and challenging for a division crown and a top-two seed in the NFC.
  • Aaron Rodgers watching from the sidelines while his Packers haven’t won in a month.
  • The 49ers fighting for their playoff lives instead of for first place.
  • The Lions leading their division.
  • The Falcons, losers of 5 straight, with the worst record in the NFC.
Picture
We’re getting closer to the finish. Something’s got to give. Let’s hope it’s not another player’s body. Healthy players make for better football.  It’d be nice to see some teams in the thick of the playoff races get back some of their nicked-up players, just to make things more interesting.

 

Patriots at Texans

Last week, I explained why the Texans playing at home is bad, and picked the Jags to beat them. Don’t expect the Pats to show them any mercy. Winner: Patriots

Bears at Vikings

The Bears’ run defence is so terrible it would make any RB look like an all-star, so it stands to reason that if they commit the necessary personnel to try and stop Adrian Peterson, it won’t take an all-star QB to shred them. Winner: Vikings

Jaguars at Browns

The Browns’ defence should be good enough for the team to survive the visiting Jags, provided, of course, that they can survive their own starting QB, Brandon Weeden. Winner: Browns

Buccaneers at Panthers

The Panthers must be salivating about their game against the Saints next week, but they’d better not get caught looking ahead when they face a game Tampa squad this week, or next week’s game won’t mean nearly as much. Winner: Panthers

Dolphins at Jets

Though I’m iffy about picking the Dolphins on the road, I see their pass rush as the deciding factor, especially against turnover-prone Jets’ QB Geno Smith. Winner: Dolphins

Titans at Colts

Doesn’t it seem like forever ago that the Colts looked like a Super Bowl favourite after kicking the crap out of teams like the 49ers, Seahawks, and Broncos? They’ve been outscored 108-49 in their past three games, going 1-2 in process. They had better find a way to turn things around again, or they will have a very short playoff run, assuming they make it there. Winner: Colts

Cardinals at Eagles

The Cards have put themselves in the thick of the playoff race by reeling off four straight wins, but I’m not convinced that they can keep that streak going on the road against the Eagles with Nick Foles behind centre. Winner: Eagles

Falcons at (Toronto) Bills

I’ll take a Bills’ team that does a few things right at “home” against a Falcons’ team that can’t do anything right. Winner: Bills

Rams at 49ers

The Rams ran roughshod over the Bears last week, but the ‘niners’ defence is a significant upgrade in opposition. The difference should be a harsh dose of reality. Winner: 49ers

Bengals at Chargers

With their injury-depleted defence and Jekyll and Hyde offence, I have a bad feeling that the Bengals are in for a long day against the mercurial Chargers offence. Winner: Chargers

Broncos at Chiefs

After their game at Mile High two weeks ago, I was eagerly anticipating this quick rematch. However, last week against the Chargers, we discovered that the loss of its two dominant pass rushers, Tamba Hali and Justin Houston, makes the Chiefs defence very ordinary. Houston won’t play this week, and Hali is listed as “Questionable” after practising minimally this week. Ordinary defence won’t cut it against the Broncos. Winner: Broncos

Giants at Washington

Last week, I picked against the Giants and I actually got it right for a change. They should bounce back nicely this week against Washington. Winner: Giants

Monday Night

Saints at Seahawks

This is a huge matchup in terms of playoff ramifications The Saints currently are the number two seed in the NFC at 9-2; the only team ahead of them are these same Seahawks at 10-1. Both teams enjoy a marked home field advantage, making the number one seed of vital importance. So, do I go with the Seahawks at home, or do I envision Drew Brees capitalizing on Seattle’s depleted secondary? I think that the Seahawks will follow the blueprint laid out for them by Bill Belichick and neutralize Saints’ TE Jimmy Graham, perhaps with a heavy dose of CB Richard Sherman. That, plus the Saints playing on the road in a really tough environment should be enough. Winner: Seahawks
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